The 30.5% Trap: What On-Chain Prediction Market Data Reveals About the Iran War's True Odds
The balance sheet says 30.5%. But the ledger holds the knife. Over the past 7...
Layer2
•
Hasutoshi
•
2026-07-26
#whale tracking
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Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$63,120.2
+0.83%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,872.9
+0.67%
SOL
Solana
$72.97
-0.48%
BNB
BNB Chain
$579.1
-1.23%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.06
+0.25%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0701
+1.05%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1740
+3.57%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.36
-0.73%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.7695
+2.40%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.1
+0.10%
Fear & Greed
27
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202615
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Topic Tags
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$63,120.2 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,872.9 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$72.97 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$579.1 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.06 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0701 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1740 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.36 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.7695 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.1 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x3304...f0b2
5m ago
In
833,781 USDC
🔴
0x164a...e02a
12m ago
Out
2,571.59 BTC
🔵
0xfd7a...ea04
1h ago
Stake
4,855.97 BTC
💡 Smart Money
0x01d0...ae8b
Early Investor
-$3.1M
72%
0xcec1...8f64
Market Maker
+$0.6M
75%
0xc897...c255
Market Maker
+$4.9M
72%